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Louisiana Recession Coming? Economic Analyst On Trump Administration Tariffs

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Inflation on the Rise: How Tariffs are Affecting the US Economy

The latest data from the US Labor Department and the Consumer Price Index shows a sharp incline in inflation over the last few weeks. This surge in inflation has been linked to the increased import taxes, which have risen by $106.1 billion as of July 1st, 2025. Economic experts are warning that this trend is painting a worrisome picture for the US, particularly for states like Louisiana.

Tariff Inflation: A Double Whammy for Louisiana

In Louisiana, the effects of tariff inflation are being felt deeply. Thomas Fellow, an economic analyst, recently sat down with KLAF-TV in Lafayette to discuss the state’s concerns. Fellow pointed out that the state’s economy is being pushed into recession territory due to the tariffs on Mexican goods, aluminum, and steel. These tariffs are affecting not only the construction industry but also the state’s oil and gas industry, which relies heavily on imported parts and materials.

The Impact of Tariffs on Louisiana’s Oil and Gas Industry

The oil and gas industry in Louisiana is being hit hard by the tariffs. Many companies in the state rely on imported goods, which are now subject to higher taxes. As a result, the costs of these companies are increasing, leading to higher prices for consumers. This scenario is playing out across the US, with tariff taxes pushing up the inflation rate by 2.7% in June, according to the US Labor Department.

Inflation from Tariff Taxes: A Growing Concern

Economic experts, including Chief Economist at AllianceBernstein Eric Winograd, are warning that the sharp increase in inflation is directly tied to the tariff tax increases on the! American people. Winograd told the Chicago Sun Times, "You are starting to see scattered bits of the tariff inflation regime filter in… Were it not for the tariff uncertainty, the Fed would already be cutting rates… The question is whether there is more to come, and the Fed clearly thinks there is."

Big Inflation Markers: A Cause for Concern

The Government has also reported that the inflation on durable goods, such as cars, appliances, and consumer electronics, rose last month for the first time in three years. This is causing concern among economists, who are warning that the economy may slow down as a result of the tariffs.

Retailers Raising Prices: A Response to Tariff Taxes

Many large retailers, including Walmart, have started raising prices in response to the tariff taxes. As their stockpiles of goods imported before the tariffs took hold have dwindled, they are now passing on the increased costs to consumers. Other companies, such as Mitsubishi and Nike, have also announced price hikes to US consumers.

The Cost of Tariffs on Groceries

The US Government’s latest data shows that grocery prices are up 2.4% from last year. Much of the concern is centered on the volatile tariffs on Mexico, which is affecting the prices of produce such as tomatoes. The 17% tariff tax on tomatoes is being passed on to consumers, adding to the growing concern about the impact of tariffs on the economy.

Warnings About Tariffs: A Predicted Outcome

Experts have been warning since the inception of the Trump Administration’s tariff tax plan that these increases would be passed on to the American consumer. Their warnings said that prices would rise, and the economy would slow. As these numbers start to emerge, it looks like their warnings were correct. Now it’s just a matter of how long we have to weather the tariff tax storm.

Conclusion

The latest data on inflation and tariffs is painting a worrisome picture for the US economy, particularly for states like Louisiana. The surge in inflation, caused by the increased import taxes, is affecting not only the construction industry but also the oil and gas industry. As retailers start raising prices in response to the tariff taxes, consumers are feeling the pinch. The warnings about tariffs were there, and now it’s time to face the consequences. The question is, how long will we have to weather this tariff tax storm, and what will be the long-term effects on the US economy?

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