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Trump signals positive meeting with Powell on US interest rates

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Introduction to the Trump-Powell Meeting

US President Donald Trump met with Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell to discuss interest rates. This meeting was significant because Trump has been critical of Powell and the Federal Reserve’s decisions on interest rates. During their meeting, Trump expressed his desire for lower interest rates, which he believes would help boost the US economy.

The Meeting and Its Outcome

The two men met on Thursday when Trump visited the US central bank’s headquarters in Washington. Despite their differences, Trump described the meeting as "very good" and said he thinks Powell might be ready to lower interest rates. However, economists expect the central bank to leave its benchmark interest rate unchanged at the conclusion of a two-day policy meeting next week.

Trump’s Change of Tone

Trump’s tone towards Powell has shifted significantly. Earlier in the week, he called Powell a "numbskull" for not heeding his demands for lower interest rates. However, after their meeting, Trump called Powell a "very good man." This change in tone suggests that the meeting may have been more productive than expected.

Tariffs and Interest Rates

The central bank has held interest rates steady since December, citing economic uncertainty caused by Trump’s imposed tariffs. Powell has said that if it weren’t for the tariffs, the central bank might have been ready to lower rates by now. This highlights the complex relationship between trade policy and monetary policy.

The Impact of Tariffs on Trade Deals

The visit comes as President Trump is expected to meet with UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer to discuss a potential trade deal. However, trade negotiations with Canada have stalled, and Trump has threatened to impose tariffs on Canada. He also expressed skepticism about reaching a deal with the European Union to reduce import tariffs, giving it only a 50% chance of success.

The Independence of the Federal Reserve

Despite pressure from the Trump administration, Powell has maintained that the central bank must preserve its independence from the White House. The Fed has reiterated that it makes decisions based solely on careful, objective, and non-political analysis. This independence is crucial for the central bank to make decisions that are in the best interest of the economy, rather than being swayed by political pressure.

Conclusion

The meeting between Trump and Powell highlights the complex relationship between the White House and the Federal Reserve. While Trump’s tone towards Powell has shifted, it remains to be seen whether the central bank will lower interest rates. The economy remains uncertain, and the trade tensions with Canada and the European Union only add to the complexity. Ultimately, the independence of the Federal Reserve is crucial for making decisions that are in the best interest of the economy, rather than being swayed by political pressure.

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