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GBP/NZD Forecast: Markets Eye RBNZ Interest Rate Decision

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Introduction to the Pound New Zealand Dollar Exchange Rate

The Pound New Zealand Dollar (GBP/NZD) exchange rate is expected to be significantly influenced by the publication of the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ)’s latest interest rate decision. This decision, which is expected to be made on Wednesday, will likely have a major impact on the exchange rate.

Expected Interest Rate Cut

The central bank is widely expected to deliver a 25 basis-point interest rate cut during mid-week trade. This move is expected to see the ‘Kiwi’ struggle in the wake of the announcement, as a lower interest rate can make a currency less attractive to investors. As a result, the New Zealand Dollar (NZD) may decline in value against other currencies, including the Pound (GBP).

UK Consumer Price Index

The UK will also release some high-impact data during Wednesday’s European trading session. The UK’s latest consumer price index (CPI) for July is expected to remain hot, with headline inflation forecast to tick up from 3.6% to 3.7%. If the data prints as expected, this will likely bolster GBP exchange rates following the release, as high inflation can lead to higher interest rates and a stronger currency.

Weekly Recap

The Pound New Zealand Dollar (GBP/NZD) exchange rate was dented on Monday amid an upbeat market mood. At the time of writing, GBP/NZD traded at around NZ$2.2800, down roughly 0.3% from Monday’s opening rate. The New Zealand Dollar (NZD) managed to climb against the majority of its counterparts at the start of the week, despite a lack of any market-moving data.

Market Mood and Currency Movement

The ‘Kiwi’s’ upside was primarily linked to the day’s positive market mood. Given the New Zealand Dollar’s nature as a risk-sensitive currency, Monday’s improvement in risk appetite ultimately bolstered NZD exchange rates in the absence of any economic catalysts. The Pound (GBP) traded in a wide range against its peers as the week began, as a dearth of UK data releases left Sterling to trade in line with market appetite for risk.

Conclusion

In conclusion, the Pound New Zealand Dollar (GBP/NZD) exchange rate is expected to be significantly influenced by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s interest rate decision and the UK’s consumer price index. The expected interest rate cut and high inflation in the UK will likely have a major impact on the exchange rate. As the market mood continues to shift, it will be important to keep an eye on the movement of the Pound and the New Zealand Dollar. With the potential for significant changes in the exchange rate, it is crucial for investors and traders to stay up-to-date with the latest developments in the market.

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