Friday, October 3, 2025
HomePolicy Outlook & ProjectionsPound To Euro BoE Forecast: GBP/EUR Steady After Bank Of England Hold

Pound To Euro BoE Forecast: GBP/EUR Steady After Bank Of England Hold

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Pound Euro Exchange Rate Holds Steady

The Pound Euro (GBP/EUR) exchange rate remained unchanged on Thursday following the Bank of England’s (BoE) latest interest rate decision. At the time of writing, GBP/EUR traded at around €1.1520, virtually unchanged from Thursday’s opening rate.

Latest Exchange Rates

The current exchange rates are:

  • Pound to Euro (GBP/EUR): 1.15228 (-0.02%)
  • Pound to Dollar (GBP/USD): 1.36169 (-0.09%)
  • Euro to Dollar (EUR/USD): 1.18173 (-0.07%)

Looking Ahead to Friday’s Session

Movement in the Pound Euro (GBP/EUR) exchange rate on Friday will likely be driven by the publication of the UK’s latest retail sales index. August’s reading is expected to report a decline, with the index forecast to slip from 0.6% to 0.4%. Should the data print as expected, this could see GBP exchange rates close the week on the back foot.

Eurozone Economic Data

In the Eurozone, Germany’s latest Producer Price Index (PPI) data is scheduled for release. The index is expected to decline from -1.5% to -1.8% in August, marking the sixth consecutive month of declining PPI in the bloc’s largest economy. This could weigh on EUR exchange rates as the week draws to a close.

Daily Recap

The Pound (GBP) held its ground against most of its counterparts on Thursday following the Bank of England’s interest rate decision. As expected, the British central bank kept rates unchanged, leaving them at 4.0%. The BoE’s Governor Andrew Bailey reiterated his stance on a careful and gradual approach to monetary policy, but Sterling remained mostly muted after the release.

Euro Performance

The Euro (EUR) managed to hold steady against most of its counterparts on Thursday, despite a lack of market-moving data. The single currency gained ground against some rivals, thanks to its safe-haven status and a marginally risk-off market mood.

Conclusion

In conclusion, the Pound Euro exchange rate held steady on Thursday, but may see movement on Friday depending on the UK’s retail sales index and Germany’s PPI data. The Bank of England’s decision to keep interest rates unchanged had little impact on the Pound, while the Euro’s safe-haven status lent it some support. As the week comes to a close, these economic indicators will be key in determining the direction of GBP/EUR exchange rates.

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