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Ten years on: has Mark Carney forgotten his own words on climate change?

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Introduction to Climate Change and Finance

On September 29, 2015, Mark Carney, the then-governor of the Bank of England, addressed a critical issue that had not been widely discussed in the financial sector before. He framed climate change as an existential threat to the financial system, marking a significant moment in how financial institutions began to view and address climate change.

The "Breaking the Tragedy of the Horizon" Speech

In his speech, titled "Breaking the tragedy of the horizon," delivered to insurers at Lloyd’s of London, Carney outlined the potential catastrophic impacts of climate change. He emphasized that these impacts could transmit risks to financial stability through three primary channels: physical risks, liability risks, and transition risks.

Physical Risks

Physical risks arise from weather-related events such as hurricanes, floods, and wildfires, which can directly damage infrastructure and disrupt economic activities. These events can lead to significant financial losses for businesses and individuals, affecting the overall stability of the financial system.

Liability Risks

Liability risks refer to the potential legal and financial consequences that companies may face for their role in causing climate change. As awareness and action on climate change increase, companies that have contributed significantly to greenhouse gas emissions may be held legally and financially responsible, posing a risk to their financial health and the stability of the financial system.

Transition Risks

Transition risks are associated with the shift to a low-carbon economy. As governments implement policies to reduce carbon emissions and transition away from fossil fuels, companies that are heavily invested in carbon-intensive industries may face significant financial losses. This transition can disrupt the financial system, especially if it occurs rapidly or unexpectedly.

The Significance of Addressing Climate Change

Carney’s speech highlighted the critical need for the financial sector to address climate change. By recognizing climate change as a financial risk, institutions can begin to develop strategies to mitigate these risks and capitalize on the opportunities presented by the transition to a low-carbon economy. This includes investing in renewable energy, enhancing resilience against physical climate risks, and supporting policies that facilitate a smooth transition.

Conclusion

The acknowledgment of climate change as an existential threat to the financial system marked a crucial turning point in the global response to climate change. It emphasized the need for a coordinated effort among financial institutions, governments, and other stakeholders to address climate-related financial risks and to support the transition to a more sustainable and resilient economy. By understanding and managing these risks, we can work towards a future where economic stability and environmental sustainability go hand in hand.

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