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Inflation & Recession Watch

Wall Street Brunch: Hot CPI Could Re-Ignite Stagflation Fears

Market Outlook: Inflation and Earnings in Focus The market is bracing for a pivotal week, with the Consumer Price Index (CPI) report set to be...
Central Bank Commentary

Amid Russian economy warnings, Putin admits Central Bank ‘struggling’ to cut interest rates

Economic Concerns in Russia Russian President Vladimir Putin expressed concerns about the country's economic slowdown at the Eastern Economic Forum in Vladivostok on September 5....
Rate Hikes & Cuts

Fed Meeting Preview: Inflation Data Critical for Rate Cut Decision – News and Statistics

Introduction to Market Trends The current economic landscape is experiencing a significant shift, with investor focus turning towards upcoming inflation data. This data will play...
Policy Outlook & Projections

Bank of America sees two US Fed rate cuts this year vs none before

Introduction to Interest Rate Cuts The US Federal Reserve is expected to cut interest rates twice this year, in September and December, according to economists...
Global Economic Trends

U.S. Jobs Report Signals Labor Market Strain, Paving the Way for Fed Rate Cut in September

US Labor Market Slows Down The US labor market has slowed down abruptly in August 2025, leading to expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut...
Market Reactions & Analysis

Fed Policy Dilemma and Global Market Reactions: Strategic Positioning in a Prolonged Rate-Cutting Cycle

Introduction to the Federal Reserve's Policy Dilemma The Federal Reserve is facing a challenging situation in 2025. On one hand, the economy is slowing down,...
Inflation & Recession Watch

August Job Report Triggers Recession Warning

Introduction to Michael Kramer Michael Kramer is the founder of Mott Capital, a long-only investor with a focus on macro themes. He studies trends and...
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