Inflation & Recession Watch

Why my predictions for 2025 fell short – and six things likely to shape the 2026 economy

Looking Back at 2025 Predictions The author reflects on their predictions for 2025, acknowledging that precognition might not be their strongest suit. Despite this, they...

Inflation & Recession Watch

DEEP DIVE: 2026–Another Year Of Living Audaciously!

Economic Outlook for 2026 The Roaring 2020s remains our base-case scenario. For 2026, we are raising our subjective odds of this prospect from 50% to...

Inflation & Recession Watch

Why haven’t Trump’s tariffs crashed the US economy?

Introduction to the Trump Tariffs When Donald Trump took office in January, most economists feared the consequences of his tariff increases. The expectation was that...

Inflation & Recession Watch

Budgeting in a High-Inflation World: How To Build a Plan That Actually Survives Higher Prices

Understanding Inflation and Its Impact on Your Budget Inflation is a persistent economic phenomenon that drives up prices over time. Although the consumer price index...

Inflation & Recession Watch

Investing in Series I savings bonds: Pros and cons of inflation-linked securities

Introduction to I Bonds I bonds are a type of savings bond offered by the U.S. Treasury that are designed to protect investors from inflation....

Inflation & Recession Watch

The Week in Charts (12/24/25)

Introduction to the Current Market Trends The current market trends are complex and multifaceted. To understand them, we need to analyze various factors, including labor...

Inflation & Recession Watch

Dow futures rise as recession fears grow while Wall Street awaits the one thing that could derail Fed rate cuts

Introduction to the Stock Market The U.S. stock market is poised to start the week on a positive note, with futures indicating a rally ahead...

Inflation & Recession Watch

Senior Labor MP Andrew Charlton swats away questions over inflation, insists Australia did well to avoid recession

Federal Reserve Inflation Target Remains Elusive: Powell’s Cautious Stance Signals Continued Monetary Vigilance

CNBC Fed Survey

EDITORIAL: When Washington picks the Fed, emerging markets pay

Senior Labor MP Andrew Charlton swats away questions over inflation, insists Australia did well to avoid recession

Bank of America stock closes higher after dividend call as shutdown delays key data

Sarah B. Rogers: Europe’s Online Safety Act threatens US free speech, 12,000 arrests for speech acts in the UK, and the chilling effects of...

Global Markets React to Fed Nominee, AI Concerns, and Precious Metals Rebound

About Us

Categories

Useful Links

Our Newsletter