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Inflation & Recession Watch

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INFLATION PROJECT

Introduction to Underlying Inflation Measures The concept of underlying inflation measures is crucial in understanding the economy's inflation trends. These measures help separate the actual...

Markets bet on whether CPI inflation will be above 2.6% for the year ending in August 2025

Introduction to Kalshi's Market Kalshi has reported a significant volume of 2,976 over the last 24 hours on their market for a specific question related...

EUR/GBP holds positive ground above 0.8650 on hotter-than-expected German CPI data

Introduction to EUR/GBP Currency Pair The EUR/GBP cross has gained momentum to around 0.8660 during the early European trading hours on Monday. This surge is...

Bitcoin News Today: September’s Tightrope: Can Bitcoin Survive the Seasonal Squeeze?

Introduction to Bitcoin's Current State Bitcoin appears to be entering a period of prolonged consolidation, raising concerns among investors about the potential for further downward...

The Fed’s Dilemma: Inflation Resilience vs. Tariff-Driven Slowdown

Introduction to the U.S. Economy in 2025 The U.S. economy in 2025 is experiencing a challenging situation, often referred to as "stagflation-lite." This term describes...

When Will Unemployment Go Back To 5%

Economy Overview The unemployment rate has been a significant concern in recent years. The last time it was at 5% was in August 2021, when...

Hyperinflation Explained: Causes, Effects & How to Protect Your Finances

Introduction to Hyperinflation Hyperinflation is a serious economic phenomenon where a country's inflation rate exceeds 50% per month. This leads to uncontrollable price surges, eroding...

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