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HomePolicy Outlook & ProjectionsGolden era: prices surge as rally heads towards US$5,000 in 2026, analysts...

Golden era: prices surge as rally heads towards US$5,000 in 2026, analysts forecast

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Introduction to Gold Prices

Gold has been making headlines in 2025, reaching multiple record highs. According to analysts, this rally is far from over, with some predicting that the price of gold could soar to $5,000 per ounce. This prediction is driven by geopolitical tensions and a surge in buying by central banks.

Record-Breaking Prices

Spot gold broke through the $4,500-per-ounce mark for the first time, reaching a record $4,510 on Christmas Eve. This represents a 72% increase from the end of last year, when the price stood at $2,624. This significant jump is the largest annual increase for the precious metal, surpassing the 70% rise seen in 1979.

Annual Jump and Local Prices

The increase in gold prices follows a 26% surge in 2024. Local prices have also risen, with gold in Hong Kong hitting a record HK$41,855 (US$5,382) per tael (37.51 grams) on Monday. This trend is expected to continue, driven by various economic and geopolitical factors.

Factors Driving the Gold Rally

The gold rally in 2025 was driven by expectations of interest-rate cuts, geopolitical tensions, and tariffs introduced by US President Donald Trump. As a result, individual investors and central banks sought to diversify their assets away from the US dollar, turning to gold as a safe-haven alternative.

Future Predictions

Brian Fung, CEO of the Hong Kong Gold Exchange, expects the rally to continue into 2026, with prices potentially hitting $5,000 per ounce. This prediction is based on the ongoing geopolitical tensions and the continued demand for gold as a safe-haven asset.

Conclusion

In conclusion, the gold market has experienced a significant surge in 2025, with prices reaching record highs. Driven by geopolitical tensions, interest-rate cuts, and a shift away from US dollar assets, the rally is expected to continue into 2026. As investors seek safe-haven assets, gold is likely to remain a top choice, potentially reaching prices of $5,000 per ounce.

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