Introduction to Economic Data Releases
The upcoming week is packed with key economic data releases and central bank decisions that will shape the global financial landscape. On August 12, 2025, the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) is expected to cut its interest rate from 3.85% to 3.60%, reflecting concerns over slowing economic growth, subdued consumer spending, and cooling inflation.
Economic Data Releases on August 12, 2025
At 0430 GMT, the RBA interest rate decision will be announced, with a predicted cut to 3.60%. This rate cut is a response to the weakening economic outlook, subdued consumer spending, and easing inflationary pressures. The RBA aims to support the economy through a more accommodative policy stance.
The U.K. will publish its June unemployment rate at 0600 GMT, with forecasts pointing to a slight improvement from 4.7% to 4.6%. This modest improvement is driven by signs of resilience in the labor market, with gradual job creation in key sectors and seasonal employment opportunities supporting hiring activity.
Later, at 1230 GMT, the U.S. will release its July year-over-year inflation rate, expected to remain steady at 2.7%. The stable expectation reflects a balance between moderating price pressures in energy and goods, and persistent inflation in services such as housing and healthcare.
Economic Data Releases on August 14, 2025
On August 14, 2025, Australia will release its July unemployment rate at 0130 GMT, forecast to hold steady at 4.3%. This projection is based on signs of a cooling but still resilient labor market, where job creation has slowed but layoffs remain limited.
The U.K. will report its June GDP month-over-month at 0600 GMT, expected to rebound by 0.1% following a –0.1% dip in May. This expected uptick is supported by a slight recovery in services activity, improved consumer sentiment, and stabilizing industrial output.
The U.S. July PPI month-over-month is due at 1230 GMT, with a forecasted rise of 0.2%. Japan’s Q2 preliminary GDP is set for release at 2350 GMT, expected to grow 0.3% quarter-over-quarter.
Economic Data Releases on August 15, 2025
On August 15, 2025, the U.S. will announce July retail sales at 1230 GMT, forecast to rise 0.4%. The U.S. Michigan consumer sentiment index for August is expected to dip slightly to 60.5, reflecting growing consumer concerns over persistent inflation and uncertainty surrounding future interest rate moves.
Conclusion
In conclusion, the upcoming week is crucial for the global economy, with key data releases and central bank decisions that will impact financial markets. The expected interest rate cut by the RBA, stable U.S. inflation, and modest improvements in labor markets are likely to influence economic growth and consumer spending. As the economic landscape continues to evolve, it is essential to stay informed about these developments to make informed decisions.
