Crypto Market Performance and Upcoming Events
The crypto market had a strong performance last week, with the combined market capitalization of all coins jumping back to over $4 trillion. Renewed hopes that the Federal Reserve would make interest rate cuts a reality fueled the rally, along with the Gemini IPO.
Key Factors Influencing the Crypto Market
Summary
- The crypto market will react to the upcoming Federal Reserve rate decision.
- The Altcoin Season Index has been in a strong uptrend lately.
- Some notable coins will have major token unlocks this week.
Upcoming Federal Reserve Decision
Economists polled by Reuters expect the U.S. central bank to cut the interest rate after the upcoming meeting begins this Tuesday, Sept. 16, and wraps on Wednesday, Sept. 17. Odds of a cut have intensified after the U.S. released weak jobs numbers earlier this month. A report showed that the economy added just 22,000 jobs in August, while the unemployment rate rose to 4.3%.
Historically, stocks and the crypto markets do well when the Federal Reserve is cutting interest rates as it normally incentivizes a risk-on sentiment among investors. For example, Bitcoin (BTC) and most altcoins jumped to a record high during the pandemic as it slashed rates to zero and implemented quantitative easing.
The risk, however, is that the upcoming interest rate cuts have been priced in, which may lead to a pullback.
Rising Altcoin Season Index
The other primary catalyst for the crypto market will be the rising Altcoin Season Index, which has moved to over 80. Top altcoins like MYX Finance, MemeCore, OKB, Pudgy Penguins, Cronos, Story, and Mantle drove this increase.
The rising Altcoin Season Index may drive more investors to these coins this week, leading to a strong performance. However, in some instances in the past, the entry into the altcoin season has led to a pullback as investors book profits.
New ETF Launches
The other primary catalyst for the crypto market will be the launch of the first Dogecoin (DOGE) and Ripple (XRP) ETFs, potentially on Thursday. These ETFs will be from Rex-Osprey, whose ETFs were approved a few months ago. The funds will be different from the standard ETFs in that they are based on the Investment Company act and, possibly, more expensive.
These ETFs will come as market participants wait for the main crypto ETFs, which will likely be approved in October.
Major Token Unlocks
The crypto market will also react to the upcoming token unlocks. Arbitrum, the second-biggest layer-2 network, will unlock token worth over $49.9 million on Monday. ApeCoin will release coins worth over $9.69 million, while Zetachain will unlock coins worth $8.6 million. The other top unlocks this week will be Melania, LayerZero, Velo Finance, and Kaito.
Conclusion
In conclusion, the crypto market is expected to be driven by several key factors this week, including the upcoming Federal Reserve rate decision, the rising Altcoin Season Index, new ETF launches, and major token unlocks. While these events may lead to a strong performance, there is also a risk of a pullback if the interest rate cuts have been priced in. As always, investors should remain cautious and do their own research before making any investment decisions.
