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US Fed Meeting outcome on Wednesday: Jerome Powell likely to lower rates by 25 bps — Are markets already pricing it in?

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Introduction to US Fed Meeting

The US Federal Reserve is set to announce its two-day policy outcome on Wednesday, 29 October 2025. The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) will determine the path of the key interest rates in the US economy. In its previous policy outcome in September 2025, the US Federal Reserve cut its benchmark interest rates by 25 basis points to the range of 4.00% to 4.25%.

Expectations from the Meeting

Experts and the stock markets are predicting an upcoming 25 basis points interest rate cut as the Jerome Powell-led committee deliberates on the policy decision. This decision will be based on multiple economic indicators of the American economy. The meeting is crucial as it will impact the US economy and other economies around the world.

Expert Insights

Harshal Dasani, Business Head, INVAsset PMS, said that an interest rate cut this week will mark the start of a ‘synchronised policy easing phase’, which also holds a potential to reprice asset classes like equities, bonds, and commodities. The decision is being shaped by September inflation easing to around 3%, weaker job additions, and cautious business sentiment due to the recent U.S. government shutdown.

Impact on Markets

A cut this week would further lower U.S. yields, potentially softening the dollar and reviving capital flows into emerging markets such as India. For global investors, it also marks the beginning of a synchronised policy easing phase, which could reprice risk assets across equities, bonds, and commodities. If the Federal Reserve cuts its rate on Wednesday, then it will be a move of the central bank towards backing growth prospects amid a moderate inflation level in the US economy.

Market Predictions

Experts are certain that the stock markets have priced in the rate cuts as the benchmark indices in the United States hit their record high levels during Tuesday’s Wall Street session. Market expert Avinash Gorakshakar also said that there is a rising possibility that the US Fed can cut its benchmark interest rates in the October policy outcome. He also said that the stock markets have ‘largely priced’ in the potential rate cut move ahead of the policy decision.

Key Points to Consider

  • The US Fed is expected to cut interest rates by 25 basis points on Wednesday, 29 October 2025.
  • The FOMC cut its benchmark rates by 25 basis points to the range of 4.00% to 4.25% in September 2025.
  • Experts suggest that a rate cut can potentially reprice asset classes like equities, bonds, and commodities.

Conclusion

In conclusion, the US Federal Reserve’s policy outcome on Wednesday, 29 October 2025, will be a crucial event for the US economy and the global markets. With experts predicting a 25 basis points interest rate cut, it is likely that the stock markets have already priced in this decision. The impact of this decision will be far-reaching, and investors around the world will be watching the outcome closely. As the global economy continues to evolve, decisions like these will play a significant role in shaping the future of international trade and finance.

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