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Wall Street Week Ahead: Jerome Powell speech ahead of 2025’s final rate decision, key economic data in focus

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Introduction to the Week Ahead

Wall Street investors are set to focus on the upcoming address by US Federal Reserve Chair, Jerome Powell, ahead of the year’s final monetary policy decision. Powell is scheduled to speak at a panel discussion in Stanford on Monday. This event will be crucial as it may provide insights into the future of interest rates and inflation control.

Economic Data Releases

Beyond the Fed, market participants will closely monitor a raft of critical economic data releases. These include reports on private employment, manufacturing activity, personal income and spending figures, and the much-anticipated, delayed Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Index report — a key inflation gauge for the US central bank. These reports will provide a comprehensive view of the current state of the US economy and can significantly influence market trends.

Earnings Season

The week also marks a busy period for the earnings season. Several major retail giants are due to report their quarterly results, including Kroger, Dollar General, and Dollar Tree. Furthermore, chipmaker Marvell and technology giant Salesforce are scheduled to release their latest figures. The performance of these companies can impact the overall market sentiment and provide insights into the health of various sectors.

Key Earnings Reports

Following companies are due to report third quarter results in the week ahead — MongoDB, CrowdStrike Holdings, Marvell, GitLab, Salesforce, Snowflake, Dollar Tree, C3.ai, Kroger, Ulta Beauty, Hewlett Packard, Dollar General, and Victoria’s Secret. These reports will be closely watched by investors and analysts to gauge the overall performance of the tech and retail sectors.

Economic Calendar

On December 1 (Monday), separate reports on S&P final US manufacturing PMI for November and ISM manufacturing for November will be released. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell is also scheduled to speak at a panel discussion in Stanford on Monday.

  • On December 2 (Tuesday), TBA Auto sales data for November will be released.
  • On December 3 (Wednesday), separate reports on ADP employment for November, Import Price Index (delayed report) for September, S&P final US services PMI for November, and ISM services for November will be released.
  • On December 4 (Thursday), separate reports on initial jobless claims for the week ended November 29 and US trade deficit for October will be released.
  • On December 5 (Friday), separate reports on personal income and spending (delayed reports) for September, PCE index (delayed report) for September, consumer sentiment (preliminary) for December, and consumer credit for October will be released.

Markets Last Week

US stocks closed higher on Friday during a shortened session after Thanksgiving, driven by gains in retail and a recovery in tech stocks. The S&P 500 rose 36.48 points, or 0.5%, to 6,849.09. The Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 289.30 points, or 0.6%, to 47,716.42. The Nasdaq Composite added 151 points, or 0.7%, to 23,365.69. The three indices posted weekly gains, with the S&P 500 rising 3.73%, the Nasdaq gaining 4.91%, and the Dow climbing 3.18%. For the month, the S&P and the Dow swung to marginally positive, while the Nasdaq fell 1.51%. The 10-year Treasury yield rose slightly at 4.02%.

Conclusion

In conclusion, the upcoming week is expected to be filled with significant events that can impact the US stock market. The address by Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, earnings reports from major companies, and a slew of economic data releases will be closely watched by investors. These events have the potential to influence market trends and provide insights into the future of the US economy. As investors and analysts look forward to these events, they will be closely monitoring the market’s reaction to gauge the overall health of the economy and make informed investment decisions.

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