Wednesday, February 4, 2026
HomeMeeting Calendars & PreviewsWestpac stock (ASX:WBC) ends first 2026 session higher as inflation data looms

Westpac stock (ASX:WBC) ends first 2026 session higher as inflation data looms

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Introduction to Westpac Banking Corp

Westpac Banking Corp (WBC.AX) shares saw a rise in Sydney’s first trading session of 2026. This move is significant as it indicates how investors are responding to inflation and central-bank signals that can impact bank earnings and valuations.

Why It Matters

The move matters because banks are among the most rate-sensitive stocks on the Australian market. Shifts in interest-rate expectations can change how investors value future profits and dividends, and can feed directly into mortgage pricing and funding costs. This sensitivity to interest rates makes bank shares closely watched by investors.

Impact of Inflation Reporting

Australia’s inflation reporting cadence has shifted, giving markets more frequent readouts to price the Reserve Bank of Australia’s next steps. This change can tighten or loosen the range for bank share prices even when there is no company-specific news. The next domestic signpost is Wednesday’s Consumer Price Index release for November, which can reshape bets for the RBA’s February policy decision.

Market Movement

Westpac ended Friday at A$38.95, up 0.35 Australian dollars, after trading between A$38.48 and A$38.95. Other major banks, including Commonwealth Bank of Australia, National Australia Bank, and ANZ Group, also finished slightly firmer on the day. This movement indicates a positive trend in the banking sector.

Global Rate Expectations

Global rate expectations are also in play. Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia President Anna Paulson expects inflation to moderate, suggesting that some modest further adjustments to the funds rate would likely be appropriate later in the year. This global perspective can influence Australian bank shares.

Upcoming Events

The RBA’s first Monetary Policy Board meeting of the year is scheduled for February 2-3, with the decision due on the second day. Investors in bank shares tend to watch the statement for clues on how long rates may stay restrictive. Company-specific attention turns next to Westpac’s first-quarter results on February 13.

Key Figures to Watch

Traders have marked A$39.00 as the first nearby psychological level, with support around Friday’s low of A$38.48. Westpac’s 52-week range is A$28.44 to A$41.00, leaving the stock below its recent peak but well off last year’s trough.

Risks and Considerations

Risks run both ways. A firmer inflation print could push rate expectations higher, pressuring bank valuations and raising concerns about household stress in Australia’s mortgage-heavy market. A softer number could do the opposite but would sharpen scrutiny on whether margins are being squeezed by intense deposit and home-loan competition.

Conclusion

The next immediate catalyst for Westpac shares is Australia’s CPI release on January 7, a data point investors will use to reset rate bets before the market’s focus shifts toward the RBA’s February decision and Westpac’s February 13 update. As the banking sector continues to be influenced by both domestic and global economic factors, investors will closely watch these upcoming events to gauge the direction of Westpac and other bank shares.

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