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What’s next for US interest rates?

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Introduction to Interest Rates

The Federal Reserve, the central bank of the United States, has left interest rates unchanged for the fifth consecutive time, despite pressure from President Trump to cut rates. The overnight borrowing rate remains at a target range between 4.25% to 4.50%. This decision was not unanimously supported by officials at the central bank, with two Fed governors voting against the consensus and supporting a rate cut.

What Will the Fed Do Next?

The Federal Reserve’s next move on interest rates largely depends on who will bear the burden of tariffs implemented by the Trump administration. This will shape the trajectory for inflation and hiring. The Fed will be taking various information into consideration before making a decision. One of the two Trump-appointed Fed governors who voted in favor of cutting rates, Chris Waller, contended that while Trump’s tariffs may cause a one-time increase in prices, they’re not likely to be a persistent driver of inflation.

Interest Rate Decision Timeline

The Federal Reserve next meets on September 16-17. As of the July meeting, the Fed’s options remained "wide open," with Chairman Jerome Powell making no effort to tee up a September cut, even though he also wouldn’t rule it out.

How Do Interest Rates Affect the Economy?

The Fed uses interest rates to either stimulate or rein in economic activity. Cutting rates decreases borrowing costs, prompting businesses to take out loans to hire more people and expand production, which in turn stimulates economic activity and growth. Conversely, when the economy is overheating, the Fed may raise rates to cool things down and prevent inflation from spiraling out of control.

What Do Rate Changes Mean for Your Wallet?

The Federal Reserve’s decisions also hold significance for your finances. When rates are cut, it provides some welcome relief for consumers who are in the market for a home or auto purchase, as well as for those carrying pricey credit card debt, by lowering interest rates on those products. On the other hand, rate cuts could also have a downside of shaving the relatively high returns recently enjoyed by savers. Meanwhile, when the Fed decides to raise rates, it usually has the inverse effect, leading interest rates on credit cards, auto loans, and variable rate mortgages to go up. The good news with rate hikes is that savings accounts tend to earn more interest.

Conclusion

In conclusion, the Federal Reserve’s decision to leave interest rates unchanged has significant implications for the economy and your finances. The next interest rate decision will be made on September 16-17, and it remains to be seen whether the Fed will cut rates or keep them steady. Understanding how interest rates affect the economy and your wallet can help you make informed decisions about your financial situation. As the Fed continues to navigate the complex economic landscape, it’s essential to stay informed and adapt to any changes in interest rates.

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